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by Mike Smithon Aug 7, 2012 at 6:32 PM


  • We are here and we are Live!!! Following a week's unpaid hiatus -- otherwise known as a "furlough" -- the ChatMeister is back to dispense some journalistic juju. I know two weeks' Cold Turkey is tough but today's fix makes the wait all the more worthwhile, I'm sure. The club appears to be trending upward, though concerns remain about Rafael Furcal. The Puma has returned to the DL for a third time this season. His return likely will leave him a spot starter. Jaime Garcia makes a rehab appearance Thursday in San Antonio. There remains some intrigue about whether he will require a fourth minor-league appearance. (JSL!!! projects the answer to be Yes.) I know you have much to ask. Let's climb the long board and ride the wave. I'm guessing about 2 hours' worth.
  • If, in fact, Lohse has pitched his way out of St. Louis' budget and Berkman's career will end without much drama, where/how do you see the Cards reallocating that $24+ million? The reason I ask, is that "dry powder" seems useless for an organization unwilling to deals its prospects at the deadline, so they might as well spend the money when money alone is all it takes.
  • Well, what are the needs? The club projects to return its current starting eight. A backup SS appears a likely need. Perhaps another LH reliever and an additional RH bat for the bench, perhaps an OF. The rotation is the point of most interest. Waino', Carpenter, Garcia, Lynn and Kelly are under control next season. As for Shelby Miller and Trevor Rosenthal? They offer at least depth, perhaps more. Carpenter, of course, remains a question following July surgery. I certainly can see how Westbrook could be an option for $8.5 million. Lohse may go deep-sea fishing following an outstanding season. I would anticipate a $14M AAV for him in his next deal, which would likely be for a minimum three years guaranteed, perhaps four. Carpenter's status may become clearer by the end of the season. I suspect his availability or lack thereof will dictate how aggressive the club will be for a high-end starter.
  • I have read that Jake Westbrook may be tempted to test the water and not exercise his option because of his upturn, how does his option work, can he or the team exercise it or must both? If he and Lohse left what be your prediction as to the teams direction to be taken?
  • Jake has more leverage now than 2-3 months ago. He and the club share a mutual option for next season worth $8.5M. Westbrook must state his intention first. If he exercises his option and the club declines, he's owed a $1 million buyout. If he declines, the club owes him nothing. The core question becomes whether Westbrook believes he can fetch a higher AAV for multiple years on the open market. If he believes the club has no interest in bringing him back, he should take a $1M roll of the dice. Westbrook, however, freely admits this is the best work environment he's ever experienced. The starters, especially the more veteran ones, share a close relationship. From the club's standpoint, it must balance Westbrook's return versus an opportunity for Kelly/Miller/Rosenthal and the availability of a more cost-effective option on the market. It's an interesting poker game.
  • Big Matt Carpenter fan here, and I don't feel as if I'm alone in sharing that sentiment. Whether starting or coming in off the bench as the pinch hitter the guy always has his head in the game, takes great at bats even in the clutch situations, and plays in multiple positions. Seems like he just has a knack for getting hits all the time. My question is can he be an everyday starter at this level and maintain good production, whether its with this team or another? Or is he best suited to what he does now, being a good spot starter and pinch hitter that can play multiple positions?
  • It's difficult to envision Carpenter assuming an everyday role with this team barring injury. He is best as a corner infielder. However, the club has David Freese under control for three more years and projects Allen Craig as next season's first baseman. Carlos Beltran is signed through 2013. Carpenter's first extended chance here would seem to be 2014. All that said, Carpenter offers great maturity for a player of his experience level. He is no newbie (he turns 27 in Nov.) and has a very firm understanding of the game. His value as a utility player is significant, especially with Freese and Craig followed by leg and feet problems for much of their major-league careers. Carpenter has 8 RBI in 20 pinch at-bats this season. That's remarkable for anyone, never mind a rookie hitter. I'm sure another club may see him filling a more visible role. Could make for an interesting winter.
  • Joe: The biggest question mark next year is can Carpenter return and pitch to his usual outstanding level. At this point, Mo cannot assume that will happen. Any elite potential #1's out there that Mo covets, and will Mo pursue one?
  • The club projects Adam Wainwright as an elite No. 1. The Cardinals are not inclined to offer long-term high-AAV deals to starting pitchers. With their options in the minor leagues, I can't blame them.
  • Are the players required to talk to FSM, or othe media outlets. I watch the pre-game every day and a few players body language come accross as bored. I understand the media has a job to do, but do you see any of this in your work. Can you tell when a player is just trying to be nice?
  • Certainly the club steers players to its rightsholders, FSM and KMOX. Most of these guys understand media access is part of the job. Access has also eroded this season as part of the recent Collective Bargaining Agreement. I could launch into a rant here but it would only seem self-serving (though true BFIBs recognize greater media access means more information for them). It's a treat for any player to engage Jim "the Cat" Hayes in some pre-game folderol. A number of guys do pro bono appearances on non-rightsholding stations as well. It's a gentle market. Everyone gets along for the most part.
  • Aloha, waveone. I am guessing that Jake Westbrook is back next year..do the Cards try to extend him to additional years? Also appreciate your take on Kyle Lohse, and if the noises being made could actually translate into an extension? Seems unlikely with his superb numbers, and we have heard the "I want to stay in StL" line from many stars who shall remain unnamed (AP) for whom the words eventually rang hollow. Scribe's take?
  • As El Hombre once famously uttered, "There are no breaks. This is business." Berkman was even more blunt last September when he made clear, "It's always about the money." The belief that a player will sacrifice millions and take fewer years in order to bathe in adulation from The Best Fans in Baseball is somewhat naive. This winter represents Lohse's final bite of the apple. He is very happy here. But as Lohse noted a couple weeks ago, "I can be happy in a lot of places."
  • It seems to me Allen Craig has always been a under rated player. Players like Colby Rasmus and S Miller are presented as great prospects and AC was mentioned as a after thought. What did the organization think of AC and how much value do they put on him now?
  • Craig was always viewed as a tough fit defensively. He was taken off third base because of quirky throwing mechanics. He still remains a more comfortable outfield than infield arm. He has average speed at best. As noted here previously, his best position is "bat." Injuries have compromised his opportunities as well. Craig has significant value. He is still adjusting to first base. His bat will force the Cardinals (or some club) to find him an everyday position. Craig is a very intelligent player and makes adjustments quickly. I don't believe him underrated any longer. BTW, Rasmus is doing better in Toronto. He slammed his 20th home run last night and has an outside shot at 30 this season. Miller remains a coveted prospect who may have retarded his own development by waiting until Triple-A to fully embrace his need for secondary pitches. There's little purpose comparing the buzz over one prospect to another.
  • how would you rate the job Matheny has done this year? Miklasz has been fairly critical of the job #22 has done. The constant changing of the lineup is one area where I think he could improve. Thoughts?
  • Well, did anyone really believe a first-time manager would avoid critique? Come on. Matheny expected it. That doesn't mean he agrees with what he reads or hears, but it's part of the gig. He operates at an additional deficit given that most of us became accustomed to how TLR ran a clubhouse and a game. TLR had his critics -- every manager does -- but pitchers regularly said he handled a bullpen with better touch than any other manager they'd played for. To me, handling the bullpen defines a manager as much or more than any other element. The fact that Matheny was given a pen with several rough edges to open the season only invited more scrutiny. As the bullpen has evolved, so have opinions of the manager. His tactics are far more predictable now, which makes them seem more rational. I have yet to speak to any baseball person who does not believe Matheny will become a very good to outstanding manager. Just as a player's development becomes noticeable over the course of a season, so does a first-year manager's. I, like most, had many questions early. And, yes, Mike bends over backwards to protect his players. My understanding is that he is far more critical in private. However, reluctance to publicly evaluate/criticize players can suggest timidness. TLR, it should be noted, was more willing to critique some than others to media. The Cardinals are meanwhile leading the league in most offensive categories. I don't see where the lineup should be a major quibble.
  • hey joe, whats the bigger miracle, the 2011 team coming back from 10.5 out to get wild card and win the whole encliddada or the 2012 team possibly leading MLB in run differential and not making the playoffs, I vote the latter, your take El Diablo?
  • The appreciation scale sure seems weighted toward The Now. I dare say St. Louis won't enjoy another comeback like 2011 in most of our lifetimes.
  • There have been many players whose best position is "bat", that have had long careers(Adam Dunn, Dave Kingman). But as I remember it, not many played on championship teams. Does Craig have the potential to find a position he can learn to play to the average ability?
  • Well, by my reckoning Craig already has been part of one championship team. Adam Dunn is borderline incompetent on defense. It's a disservice to Craig to place him in that category. Craig, given health, can handle first base or a corner outfield position. Left field would probably fit him best.
  • I know this is hard to quantify, but have you noticed a difference in the team since Waino went public a few weeks ago that they were vastly underperforming? It seems he may have filled some of the leadership void from Carp and Berk (who was out at the time). Perhaps I am overanalyzing, but in my mind there is some correlation to Waino calling his teammates out to play better and the current streak of wins and better play.
  • I don't think that Waino' said anything publicly that hadn't been said within the clubhouse. What struck me was that he made his comments knowing that his next start would be against the Los Angeles Dodgers and incumbent NL Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw. Wainwright won the battle (7 IP, 2 ER) in a game I believe may eventually be looked upon as a turning point to the season. it would have been a lot easier for Adam to make his statement before facing the Astros, Padres or some other destitute club. In a way, he called himself out, then delivered.
  • Do you see the Birds making any moves through the waiver wire? Personally, I think they come up with a RH bat for the bench. Somehow, someway, it seems like Greene is going to be moved. Are there any bench bats out there that could fill that void?
  • Hard to predict the waiver wire. However, it is difficult to give up on Greene as long as Rafael Furcal is dealing with back issues. Yes, Descalso can play short. But it's very debatable whether the club wants him there on a daily basis should Furcal hit the DL. Furcal's back issues flared immediately before the trade deadline, which may partially explain why Greene was not moved.
  • Was at the Cards game in Denver last week, and mostly because he imploded there but how much longer do we expect to see Salas pitching on the big league club? Will that be the move when Garcia comes back, shift Kelly to a long relief role? Has the league caught up with Salas or is there something else, I was banking on him being a guy we could count on for quality relief innnings this year?
  • Salas last night had one of the more unusual 1-2-3 innings I've witnessed. A single led to a caught stealing. A double led to an out at third when Melky Cabrera tried to stretch it into a triple. And a hard-hit third out. Salas appeared headed in a positive direction prior to Colorado. It's still difficult for me to believe that he has not experienced aftereffects of last year's grind. I'm not sure of the corresponding move when Garcia is activated. Remember that rosters expand two weeks after Jaime's return. Whoever gets bumped won't be gone long.
  • Mr Joe Ballgame: Your insights are appreciated. I realize that THEY are running the ballclub and I'm not; but I just cannot understand how there is no place for Adron Chambers on this team. This kid is a lightning bolt. I would rather have him up with the game on the line than at least two or three of the guys currently riding our bench. Am I alone in this view?
  • I anticipate seeing Chambers here next month. He has had a good offensive season at Memphis.
  • Chatmeister - Are the Reds due to regress to the mean or are they just that good? Thank you, sir.
  • I believe they're a 92-94 win team. Of course, before the season I considered them an 84-86 win team. Their schedule will eventually toughen.
  • Joe, have you already begun to organize the VCU pregame pep rally at Humphrey's before the hoops game against SLU?
  • Compiling guest list now. Just laid out $49.95 for a new VCU hoodie.
  • Why doesnt Skip play more with his current high batting average? Is he in the doghouse with the manager for some reason?
  • Daniel Descalso has also been playing at a high level and is hitting lefthanders well. Descalso is typically perceived as the better defensive player as well. Defense sometimes breaks ties behind a ground-ball pitcher.
  • So at 32 when his contract expires do you think Wainwright would be willing to look at a 4 yr deal with the home team?
  • I suspect the club and Waino' will enter talks about an extension sometime before next season. AAV could be a ticklish subject given the term some others have recently achieved. Greinke's free agency could also be influential.
  • Any chance of seeing Tavares when the rosters expand?
  • I wouldn't dismiss it. However, I question the value if the Cardinals don't project Taveras as part of next season's Opening Day roster. Spot duty in September, or merely satisfying fan curiosity, doesn't seem like enough to offset unnecessarily burning an option next spring.
  • Afternoon Mr. Strauss,
    What went wrong with the Cardinal's bats last night? I watched Zito pitch and nothing he threw looked spectacular. I saw a lot of 84 mph "fast"balls right down the pipe that were either looked at or hit for groundballs. I'm just trying to find a logical explanation as to why Allen Craig was the only one that could get to him last night. Thanks for the chats.
  • The Cardinals got hits. They just bunched them with two outs. Seven of their eight hits against Zito came with two outs. Both of Craig's home runs came with two outs -- and no one on base. More quirky than anything.
  • No teams have finished first in MLB in run differential have missed the playoffs in the last 10 years. Only 2 teams that have finished 2nd have missed, and they would have made it in the current 5 playoff team system. Any thoughts on the Cardinals' pending historic accomplishment?
  • I have the Cardinals making the playoffs. Only a significant erosion in their pitching could derail them. If that happens, their run differential will also decline.
  • I know many are critical of Matheny. One thing he has done well is giving the aging, injury prone players who are the core of the Cardinals rest.
  • True, to a point. The club leaned very heavily on Rafael Furcal during the first half. It's now paying the price for it.
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